Economy · Resolves Aug 21

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

Up is currently priced at 96%. That is 47 points higher than 24 hours ago.

96%

+47 pts

24 hours

$127.5K

24h volume

Established

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Up.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Movement

1 hour: +1 pts
24 hours: +47 pts
7 days: 0 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Aug 21
Liquidity: $61.4K
Total volume: $128K
Open interest: $89.5K
Spread: 1.7 pts
Bid / ask: 95% / 97%

Resolution source