Section
World
World
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
6%
Yes
+2 pts
World
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
26%
Yes
0 pts
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
8%
Yes
−2 pts
World
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
Yes
−1 pts
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
0%
Yes
0 pts
World
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
0%
Yes
−1 pts
World
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
86%
Yes
−4 pts
World
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
17%
Yes
+4 pts
World
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
64%
Yes
−6 pts
World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
96%
Yes
0 pts
World
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
94%
Yes
−1 pts
World
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
97%
Yes
0 pts
World
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
30%
Yes
−1 pts
World
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
54%
Yes
+4 pts
World
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
Yes
0 pts
World
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
3%
Yes
−1 pts
World
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
74%
Yes
−6 pts
World
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
99%
Yes
+1 pts
World
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
14%
Yes
+1 pts
World
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
10%
Yes
−7 pts
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
18%
Yes
0 pts
World
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
78%
Yes
+2 pts
World
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
21%
Yes
−2 pts
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
2%
Yes
0 pts
World
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
4%
Yes
0 pts
World
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
87%
Yes
−2 pts
World
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?
9%
Yes
0 pts
World
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?
8%
Yes
+1 pts
World
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
83%
Yes
0 pts
World
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
4%
Yes
0 pts