Markets · Resolves Aug 21

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

Yes is currently priced at 17%. That is 13 points higher than 24 hours ago.

17%

Yes

+13 pts

24 hours

$163.5K

24h volume

Developing

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Movement

1 hour: −10 pts
24 hours: +13 pts
7 days: +15 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Aug 21
Liquidity: $17.2K
Total volume: $331.7K
Open interest: $379.6K
Spread: 0.1 pts
Bid / ask: 17% / 17%

Resolution source