Politics · Resolves Dec 31

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes is currently priced at 6%.

Yes

0 pts

24 hours

$94.1K

24h volume

Deep market

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Movement

1 hour: 0 pts
24 hours: 0 pts
7 days: −1 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Dec 31
Liquidity: $367.5K
Total volume: $10.9M
Open interest: $3.4M
Spread: 1.0 pts
Bid / ask: 5% / 6%