Economy · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes is currently priced at 8%. That is 4 points lower than 24 hours ago.

Yes

−4 pts

24 hours

$147.2K

24h volume

Established

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Movement

1 hour: 0 pts
24 hours: −4 pts
7 days: −6 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $120.7K
Total volume: $1.8M
Open interest: $11.2M
Spread: 1.0 pts
Bid / ask: 7% / 8%