Economy · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes is currently priced at 35%. That is 4 points lower than 24 hours ago.

35%

Yes

−4 pts

24 hours

$38.5K

24h volume

Established

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Movement

1 hour: −1 pts
24 hours: −4 pts
7 days: +2 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Liquidity: $65.7K
Total volume: $995.1K
Open interest: $14M
Spread: 2.0 pts
Bid / ask: 34% / 36%

Resolution source