World · Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes is currently priced at 14%. That is 1 point higher than 24 hours ago.

14%

Yes

+1 pts

24 hours

$38.8K

24h volume

Established

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.