Politics · Resolves Aug 11

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes is currently priced at 30%. That is 10 points higher than 24 hours ago.

30%

Yes

+10 pts

24 hours

$81.5K

24h volume

Developing

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Movement

1 hour: +1 pts
24 hours: +10 pts
7 days: +12 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Aug 11
Liquidity: $48.4K
Total volume: $546.8K
Open interest: $883.2K
Spread: 1.0 pts
Bid / ask: 29% / 30%