Technology · Resolves Jun 30, 2027

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

Yes is currently priced at 3%. That is 9 points lower than 24 hours ago.

Yes

−9 pts

24 hours

$15.4K

24h volume

Thin market

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Starship upper stage for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower’s chopsticks, this market will resolve to “No.” A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 14th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 14th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 14th launch, and this market will stay open until the 14th launch has occurred. If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Movement

1 hour: 0 pts
24 hours: −9 pts
7 days: −16 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Liquidity: $9.8K
Total volume: $42.6K
Open interest: $62.3K
Spread: 1.2 pts
Bid / ask: 2% / 3%