Politics · Resolves Nov 4

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes is currently priced at 71%. That is 2 points lower than 24 hours ago.

71%

Yes

−2 pts

24 hours

$50.7K

24h volume

Deep market

Market depth

15-day probability history

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket

Market details

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Movement

1 hour: 0 pts
24 hours: −2 pts
7 days: −1 pts

Market facts

Resolves: Nov 4
Liquidity: $312K
Total volume: $381.1K
Open interest: $395.4K
Spread: 1.0 pts
Bid / ask: 70% / 71%