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World · Resolves Dec 31

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes is currently priced at 17%. That is 1 point lower than 24 hours ago.

17%
Yes
−1 pts
24 hours
$120.3K
24h volume
Deep market
Market depth

15-day probability history

25%50%75%

Source: Polymarket · Displayed outcome: Yes.

View on Polymarket